Maxim Orlovsky wrote:
_There are technological/engineering leaps which humanity tries to take for decades - and fails. These are: thermonuclear synthesis, biological death, artificial intelligence and quantum computing.
When I was young, professors at my school had a joke that “we are always 40 years from thermonuclear synthesis”. And here we are, 30 years later: we are still there.
My take: the tech progress is not linear nor exponential. As all of things in nature, which looks exponential, it is in fact a sigmoid curve__[:](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HBqzGvcXoAE-4_I?format=jpg&name=large) exponential decline towards some horizontal asymptote follows the exponential growth (like the one which makes futurists believe we will have singularity next decade).
A leap in tech progress - a new phase of exponential growth - requires scientific breakthroughs, the scale of which we had with relativity, quantum mechanics, quantum field theory and standard model last century. Yet those were enough to build modern world - but they are insufficient for getting quantum computers, artificial intelligence, thermonuclear synthesis and solving biological death. Another leap is required.
How we want to achieve quantum computing, when nobody understands why the quantum world works the way it is? How achieve artificial intelligence having no consensus on what intelligence is? How to achieve thermonuclear synthesis when can’t explain mechanism of mass-to-gravity at quantum level? How to solve death puzzle when no mathematical model for aging exists?
Modern physics need to be rebuild on modern mathematics and computer science, with category theory, no infinities, continuities, calculus etc from past ages. (This is so funny to see engineers work on thermonuclear reactors when they still use Gibbs differential geometry for electrodynamics, instead of geometric calculus). Modern cognitive science has to be rebuild-invented, with no anthropocentrism and wokism. Etc.
There would be genii, who will do that. Some forerunners for them are already here (Wolfram, Deutch). But I am sure that at the end of the days those future genii will end up like Gallileo, Bruno, Tesla, Turing, Korolev… pretty much each genius of the past, cancelled, and killed by the collectivist humanity. Thus, I promise: whatever breakthrough I can personally achieve, I will not share it with the crowd and humans. If I will uncover the secrets of intelligence (which I think I really close to), I’d better build a new non-human individuals which will take the stars, than repeat mistakes of Tesla/Turing and others.
I take Johns Galt stance: Fuck you, humanity._
(q)